Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MANA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-13 0.202628 0.234841 0.270522 0.312980 0.362139 0.417284 0.483870
2025-07-20 0.154921 0.198795 0.252512 0.323144 0.413653 0.525868 0.675786
2025-07-27 0.129480 0.178280 0.242314 0.332549 0.456606 0.621470 0.857771
2025-08-03 0.110192 0.160688 0.230794 0.335326 0.487529 0.701587 1.026544
2025-08-10 0.094013 0.144073 0.217047 0.331307 0.506150 0.764414 1.176508
2025-08-17 0.079771 0.127785 0.200894 0.320474 0.511770 0.807004 1.299565
2025-08-24 0.072397 0.120772 0.197425 0.327917 0.545335 0.894641 1.501728
2025-08-31 0.065049 0.112656 0.190924 0.329186 0.568385 0.967240 1.687188
2025-09-07 0.059443 0.106619 0.186893 0.333694 0.596769 1.050968 1.900405
2025-09-14 0.052838 0.097943 0.177217 0.326986 0.604416 1.099334 2.056336
2025-09-21 0.047764 0.091348 0.170337 0.324251 0.618470 1.159912 2.240621
2025-09-28 0.044121 0.086934 0.166834 0.327188 0.643069 1.241900 2.473970
2025-10-05 0.042359 0.085999 0.169876 0.343278 0.695333 1.382968 2.841569
2025-10-12 0.040131 0.083884 0.170418 0.354552 0.739549 1.513696 3.205327
2025-10-19 0.038010 0.081706 0.170536 0.364875 0.782858 1.647157 3.590568
2025-10-26 0.035387 0.078142 0.167388 0.367924 0.811122 1.752548 3.928476
2025-11-02 0.032374 0.073366 0.161141 0.363512 0.822650 1.823559 4.199251
2025-11-09 0.029074 0.067557 0.152010 0.351621 0.816110 1.854362 4.382758
2025-11-16 0.027663 0.065873 0.151768 0.359791 0.856007 1.992732 4.831458
2025-11-23 0.025882 0.063110 0.148774 0.361184 0.880191 2.097734 5.213369
2025-11-30 0.024498 0.061131 0.147358 0.366133 0.913348 2.227146 5.669969
2025-12-07 0.022463 0.057320 0.141189 0.358769 0.915476 2.282398 5.947945
2025-12-14 0.020874 0.054443 0.136967 0.355767 0.928159 2.364802 6.305231